Sunday, May 5, 2019

Hypothesis of The Conspiracy Scenario

The Cloud On The Alleged Conspiracy Could Not Possibly Lifted


One danger of analysis Conspiracy Scenario is the potential damage it could done to the suspect if the defendant is innocent. Scientific hypothesis, if being rejected, does no harm to the human society in general. In addition, by treatment of the Conspiracy allegation in this way might raised the concern from White House office of counsel as the Presumed guilty until proven innocent which is in contrary to the Presumed innocent until proven guilty.

However, hypothesis - no matter in what way I am going to describe this Conspiracy scenario, still stop at the stage of Allegation. The potential negative cloud on the defendant in this case was clearly OFFSETTED by the numerous Self-Casted CLOUD from this individual 45 from the way he tried to thwart the Mueller investigation to the sneaky way of hiding what he and Putin had talked during their meeting (refer to this post), and the fact he had never complied with Subpoena for documents or interview (see Mueller's reason on why he did not insist the subpoena for interview to the lengthy constitutional litigation - this is consistent with Individual 45's threat for resort to the Supreme Court to deny the subpoena for documents about his finance and business dealing.

If he is so confident on his innocence, would not he try to lift those clouds by not hiding, not behaving evasively to the public scrutiny and the sooner he could convince the public of his innocence, the more favorable the Public would not question the legitimacy of his presidency

One Blatant theme in his written answer to the Mueller's Question Interview are the flooding with the trick wording: I have no recollection about ....., I could not recall ..... Isn't that equivalent to the answers to those questions are 'Perhaps yes' and 'Perhaps no'. Isn't that just the wording trying not to be accused of 'Lying to the Authority' (make false statement clause of the crime - a strategy and approach frequently employed by investigator in order to obtain more evidence - and the case applied to almost all the Trump associated who had been indicted and arrested. If he is innocent, would not he give out straightforward denies that he did not involved in any communications, contacts, links in the Russia case.

The incompetency in his memory recollection reminded me one incidence (see daily log: ) that he claimed his brain is a magic because He - only the wealthy people - can afford to have a Smart Drug (Smart Supplement) that would keep elder people staying on sharp. It was also reported in the media that before his election he could afford for certain Smart Drug (or Smart Supplement) that would keep or had kept his mind sharp and shrewd.


The Hypothesis of the Conspiracy Scenario


It is Hong Gan's personal interest to hypothesize a Conspiracy Scenario. The minimum goal is to support the notion that the Cloud could not be lifted, the other goal is Hong Gan's personal attempt to make it difficult for individual 45 to further put The United States of America's national interests and national security on Sale to the Russia and Russia Allies (here Russia allies refer to those foreign policies that favor Russia's stance or a compromise toward Russia's stance). The ultimate goal is for the Truth Hunt. (Without material substance the Hypothesis is a Null Hypothesis). The important thing is - how well the model or the assumptions can explain Facts; and how well it can weather through what happens later on. As is the case for any Scientific Hypothesis, it is subject to refinement and modifications whenever new information surfaces.

Hong Gan personally propose a Conspiracy Scenario that make the following assumptions:

  • Donald Trump and Putin formed an Agreement - tacit or express - that Putin would help Donald Trump to win the election; and in return Donald Trump is going to make domestic or foreign policies in line with the Russia interest as much as he is convenient to make.
  • The probable time when the 'Agreement' formed was either before the Russia hacking operation or between after the Russia hacking operation and the first Dissemination by Wikipedia. Putin informed Donald Trump, he will not be told of the detail of the Hacking operation - exactly when and where (in what country other than Russia) the operation will be done and who and what Russia intelligence were involved in the computer intrusion; and/or Donald Trump was told dirt on Clinton campaign was already or is going to be obtained to help him win the election.
  • Putin did not go for this uni-thread one on one Agreement alone. Simultaneously, Putin took a multi-thread strategy to bypass the Donald Trump. He and his intelligence agents were trying to reach out to the Trump Campaign, his associates and his inner family during before the Campaign, the Campaign and the Transition period. They were unwittingly made themselves widely open to the Russia Intelligence agents due to their lack of training in the field of intelligence.
  • Trump Campaign and Trump Family was not told of the Agreement between Donald Trump and Putin. They were being used as Tools who had actively involved in the Dissemination stage of the Russia hacking operation. They actively embraced  the offer and was colluded with the Russia in the later stage of dissemination of the dirty on Clinton Campaign.
  • In contrary to the Trump's written answer, he knew everything happened in his Campaign Associates and his inner families in their involvement and collusion in the dissemination stage of the Russia operation, including everything happened in June 9th Meeting
  • The belief in Donald Trump's being compromised by Putin might hold after it is learned that his business claimed a $1 billion loss (1984-1995) and he had extensive loan from Russia bank (verify this). It is possible that Donald Trump had kompromat financially and/or sexually.

Example Explanation


One example of the explanation of this alleged Conspiracy is Donald trump's every act to thwart the Mueller Investigation. He said because people would question the legitimacy of his presidency; he also repeatedly complained the Mueller Investigation made him could not do anything about Russia, can not do the Russia Foreign Policy (quote Mueller's exact word).

Analysis Of the Hypothesis With Facts.


Reference to other posts which summarize Mueller's Finding.

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Crimes Logged by Victim Hong Gan