Wednesday, March 20, 2019

Fact Check Individual 45's 'Professional' Pathological Lies

last modified 12/13/19

The Liar-in-chief’s lies can be grouped into three categories. Straight-out lies are those that go against Facts. Inflated Lies are those that inflated the Facts or contradict his Conducts, particularly when the intent was for self-bragging, self-grandiose. Accusation lies are those that attack other Person’s intent and motive. For example, after witnesses turned their back against him or started to cooperate with the government, Individual 45 would typically attack them on their intent such as “I did not offer him the job he wanted” “I did not grant the pardon he was seeking”. He has no hesitation on attacking any investigators, politicians, federal officers, media or other individual when either they had opposed his policy or criticized his personal characterization and they appears to follow a similar discernible pattern that in effect self-proving themselves as lies.

Without the necessity of research, I can predict 90% of Individual 45’s tweets were/are lies that can be fitted into those three categories. In addition, Individual 45 has/had no fear to lie in formal official speeches; and he has no fear to lie on those occasions for in case he could not round his ‘story’ later on.

Table of Contents

Major Events
Speech Contradicts Conduct
Economy - The most targeted area of inflated lies, self-bragging, self-grandiose
Border Wall Funding and Fake National Emergency
Foreign Policy
Environmental Protection and Climate Change
Health Care




Major Events
(Most Blatant) LiesFactsFactchecker and Summary
Economy:
  • boasted that “unemployment is at its lowest level in 16 years.”
  • misleadingly claimed that “we have more people working in the United States today than ever before.”
  • wrongly claimed companies are “moving back, creating job growth of which our country has not seen in a very long time.”
  • boasted that “the stock market is at an all-time high” since Election Day
Anti-terrorism:
  • U.S. “has achieved more against ISIS in the last eight months than it has in many, many years combined.”
Humanitarianism:
  • United States “continues to lead the world in humanitarian assistance.”
Defense spending:
  • “we will be spending almost $700 billion on our military and defense.”
Economy:
  • Trump is taking credit for a trend that long before his presidency.
  • the correct metric should be employment-to-population ratio and it isn’t higher “than ever before
  • the job gains have been fewer under Trump than they were during the same time frame in each of the previous four years.
  • boasted that “the stock market is at an all-time high” since Election Day
Anti-terrorism:
  • ISIS territory has been reclaimed at a faster rate under Trump, but more territory was reclaimed from
Humanitarianism:
  • That’s true by volume, but not as a percentage of gross national income, or GNI
Defense spending:
  • Senate passed a nearly $700 billion defense authorization bill, but it must be reconciled with a House version
9/19/17 UN speech

Factchecker:
FactCheck.org

Summary: Trump made misleading boasts about his record on the economy and foreign issues. reprised misleading talking points on everything from job growth to defense spending.

[transcript]
Economy:
  • "Just as I promised the American people from this podium 11 months ago, we enacted the biggest tax cuts and reform in American history,” 
  • "African American unemployment stands at the lowest rate ever recorded. And Hispanic American unemployment has also reached the lowest levels in history” 
  • U.S. is “now an exporter of energy to the world”
  • “Since we passed tax cuts, roughly 3 million workers have already gotten tax cut bonuses – many of them thousands of dollars per worker,”
  • “After years and years of stagnation, we are finally seeing rising wages”
  • Trump said that his administration had “ended the war on beautiful, clean coal.”
Anti-terrorism
  • The coalition to defeat Islamic State has liberated very close to 100% of the territory held by the militants in Iraq and Syria, and in other locations as well.

Economy:
  • tax cuts as a percentage of GDP would be the 12th largest since 1918. When adjusting for inflation, the Trump tax cuts would be the fourth largest since 1940
  • Trump is but not right on the rate for Latinos. It was 4.9% in December compared to record low 4.8%
  • Trump has said this before, and exactly what he means is unclear, but nearly all the possible meanings are untrue. (see reference for detail)
  • The number of workers appears to be correct but most are not getting thousands of dollars apiece.
  • Wage gains, in fact, have barely budged for the typical American worker.
  • There hasn’t ever been much of a war on clean coal. Most of the coal plants Trump has tried to boost are hardly clean compared with other forms of energy. In fact, they create some of the most polluting power there is. The so-called clean coal is a marketing label for a very expensive technique to reduce pollution from coal. But its economics have yet to pencil out.
Anti-terrorism
  • But experts warn that as many as 10,000 Islamic State loyalists could remain in Iraq and Syria. Islamic State also retains active branches elsewhere in the Middle East, Africa and other parts of Asia
1/30/18 (last year's) SOTU (State Of The Union) speech

Factchecker:
Los Angeles Times 
NPR
CBS

Summary: Trump boasted about the records he has achieved and has amassed an unprecedented number of inaccurate statements.

[transcript]
6/8/18 G-7 Summit
NATO Defense Spending:  
  • "Prior to last year where I attended my first meeting, it was going down, the amount of money being spent by countries was going down and down very substantially, and now it's going up very substantially."
  • "And, frankly, many countries [in NATO] owe us a tremendous amount of money for many years back, where they’re delinquent, as far as I’m concerned, because the United States has had to pay for them. So if you go back 10 or 20 years, you’ll just add it all up. It’s massive amounts of money is owed."
  • The commitments are made at a higher level than they’ve ever been made. And the money, it will be paid out faster — far faster. You know, ….. It wasn’t something that they were committed to. Now it’s a commitment. There’s a big difference —  And that’s why so many people weren’t reaching it or hitting it. ….. Now it’s a commitment, a real commitment.
  • I think NATO's a very important -- probably the greatest ever done. But the United States was paying for anywhere from 70 to 90 percent of it, depending on the way you calculate.
  • The United States "just had the largest military budget ever, $700 billion, approved."
  • "On top of that, Germany is just paying a little bit over 1 percent, whereas the United States, in actual numbers, is paying more than 4% of GDP"
Economy - international trade: 
  • "Our farmers have been shut out of the European Union."
On Iraq War
  • Trump repeated the claim that he opposed the Iraq war before it started. “I was very much against that war. I never thought it was a good thing. But that’s another deck of cards that I inherited, and we’ll do the best we can with it.”
Other:
  • “One of the states we won, Wisconsin — I didn’t even realize this until fairly recently — that was the one state that Ronald Reagan didn’t win when he ran the board his second time, He didn’t win Wisconsin, and we won Wisconsin.”

    NATO Defense Spending:
    • Total Defense spending by the European members and Canada has gone up. [for statistics and chart, see the reference]
    • NATO countries do not owe the United States money. the commitment threshold as a percentage of GDP is a guideline not a mandate. It is a goal to work toward it.
    • Trump repeatedly claimed that “everyone has agreed to substantially up their commitment.” But leaders of several European nations later said there were no formal agreements to increase spending beyond previously set goals, and none was provided by NATO.
    • The U.S. share of the commonly funded NATO budget is just over 22%. The U.S. share of total defense spending by all NATO members was an estimated 67% (inflation-adjusted) 
    • Trump is wrong to say that total defense spending amounts to the "largest military budget ever."When adjusted for inflation, Tbudget authorities for national defense totaled greater than $700 billion in 5 consecutive prior years (see chart data in this reference
    • US defense budget was below 4% of GDP. Defense budget for recent years were about 3.1% of GDP. (see chart data in this reference)









    Economy - international trade:
    • EU made up the fifth-largest export market for U.S. agricultural goods
    On Iraq War:
    • There’s no evidence he publicly opposed the war before it started, though there is some evidence he supported it.




    Other: 
    • In fact, Reagan won Wisconsin in 1980 and again in 1984, and pretty handily at that.
    7/12/18 NATO Summit - Press Conference

    Factchecker:
    Politifact
    Guardian
    Factcheck.org

    Summary:

    Trump made several false statements about the defense spending of the member countries. Trump repeated several other inaccurate claims that had been written about before. (Factcheck.org)

    Trump shrouded Brussels in his personal fog of war as he brought confusion and half-truths to the NATO summit, before claiming an imaginary victory over America’s allies in a conflict of his own making. (The Guardian)

    [transcript]
    9//18 UN speech

    Factchecker:
    New York Times
    Economy:
    • We have created 5.3 million new jobs and importantly added 600,000 new manufacturing jobs. 
    • Wages are rising at the fastest pace in decades.
    • Nearly 5 million Americans have been lifted off food stamps
    • The U.S. economy is growing almost twice as fast today as when I took office, and we are considered far and away the hottest economy anywhere in the world — not even close
    • Unemployment has reached the lowest rate in half a century. African American, Hispanic American and Asian American unemployment have all reached their lowest levels ever recorded
    • More people are working now than at any time in our history — 157 million
    • All Americans can be proud that we have more women in the workforce than ever before.
    • We virtually ended the estate, or death, tax on small businesses, ranchers and family farms
    • We have unleashed a revolution in American energy — the United States is now the number one producer of oil and natural gas in the world
    • And now, for the first time in 65 years, we are a net exporter of energy
    • Therefore, we recently imposed tariffs on $250 billion dollars of Chinese goods — and now our Treasury is receiving billions of dollars
    • Our new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement — or USMCA — will replace NAFTA and deliver for American workers: bringing back our manufacturing jobs, expanding American agriculture, protecting intellectual property, and ensuring that more cars are proudly stamped with the four beautiful words: Made in the USA
















    Border Wall Funding:
    • One in three women is sexually assaulted on the long journey north
    • The lawless state of our southern border is a threat to the safety, security and financial well-being of all Americans. We have a moral duty to create an immigration system that protects the lives and jobs of our citizens.
    • Meanwhile, working-class Americans are left to pay the price for mass illegal migration — reduced jobs, lower wages, overburdened schools, hospitals so crowded you can’t get in, increased crime, and a depleted social safety net
    • The border city of El Paso, Texas, used to have extremely high rates of violent crime — one of the highest in the country, and considered one of our nation’s most dangerous cities. Now, with a powerful barrier in place, El Paso is one of our safest cities
    • Tens of thousands of innocent Americans are killed by lethal drugs that cross our border and flood into our cities, including meth, heroin, cocaine and fentanyl.
    • The savage gang, MS-13, now operates in at least 20 different American states, and they almost all come through our southern border. . . . We are removing these gang members by the thousands, but until we secure our border they’re going to keep streaming back in.
    • In the last two years, our brave ICE officers made 266,000 arrests of criminal aliens, including those charged or convicted of nearly 100,000 assaults, 30,000 sex crimes and 4,000 killings
    • My administration has sent to Congress a common-sense proposal to end the crisis on our southern Border. It includes humanitarian assistance, more law enforcement, drug detection at our ports, closing loopholes that enable child smuggling, and plans for a new physical barrier, or wall, to secure the vast areas between our ports of entry
    • San Diego used to have the most illegal border crossings in the country. In response, a strong security wall was put in place. This powerful barrier almost completely ended illegal crossings.
    Health Care:
    • “The next major priority for me, and for all of us, should be to lower the cost of health care and prescription drugs — and to protect patients with preexisting conditions.”
    • Already, as a result of my administration’s efforts, in 2018 drug prices experienced their single largest decline in 46 years.
    • Lawmakers in New York cheered with delight upon the passage of legislation that would allow a baby to be ripped from the mother’s womb moments before birth. . . . And then, we had the case of the governor of Virginia where he stated he would execute a baby after birth.

    Foreign Policy: 
    • For years, the United States was being treated very unfairly by NATO — but now we have secured a $100 billion increase in defense spending from NATO allies.
    • To ensure this corrupt dictatorship never acquires nuclear weapons, I withdrew the United States from the disastrous Iran nuclear deal
    • If I had not been elected president of the United States, we would right now, in my opinion, be in a major war with North Korea.
    • We have spent more than $7 trillion dollars in the Middle East















    Anti-Terrorism:
    • When I took office, ISIS controlled more than 20,000 square miles in Iraq and Syria. Today, we have liberated virtually all of that territory from the grip of these bloodthirsty killers.
      Economy: 
      • Trump often inflates the number of jobs created by counting from Election Day, rather than when he took the oath of office.  [There have been almost 4.9 million jobs created since January Trump took office, of which 436,000 are manufacturing jobs.]
      • But adjusted for inflation, wages for all workers grew 1.3 percent from 12/1/17 to 12/1/18, making the increase only the largest since August in Election year.
      • About 3.6 million people (not nearly 5 million) have stopped receiving food stamps since 1/31/17.
      • Trump accurately says the most recent numbers, showing 3.4% GDP growth, are roughly twice the 1.8% from his first quarter in office. Trump has seen growth top 4% in one quarter, but Obama topped it three times during his term and in one quarter topped 5%
      • This is all in the past. the unemployment rate increased to 4% in January. The unemployment rate in December was no longer at a 49-year low, but an 18-year low. The unemployment rate for African American, Hispanic American and Asian American all rose in January as compared to December last year.
      • This is meaningless. The U.S. population is growing, so of course more people would be employed.
      • This statistic mainly reflects the increasing size of the U.S. population. The more relevant statistic — the labor participation rate of women — is not at a record high.
      • Reducing the estate tax primarily benefits the wealthy. The estate tax rarely falls on farms or small businesses
      • The notion that “a revolution” in energy began under the Trump administration is wrong. The United States has led the world in natural gas production since 2009. Crude oil production has been increasing rapidly since 2010. In September 2018, the United States passed both Russia and Saudi Arabia to become the largest global crude oil producer
      • The United States is not yet a net energy exporter
      • A study estimated that 115 percent of the money raised from tariffs is being used by the administration to aid farmers hurt by the retaliatory tariffs, so it’s a net loser.
      • USMCA is not a total trade revolution, as Trump promised. Economists and auto experts think USMCA is going to cause car prices in the United States to rise and the selection to go down. Some elements of the deal were borrowed from TPP.
      Border Wall Funding:
      • The statistic is derived from a report that cannot necessarily be considered representative of all migrant women. Sampling was not random in that study.
      • There is no new security crisis at the border.
      • Apprehensions of people trying to cross the southern border peaked most recently at 1.6 million in 2000 and have been in decline since, falling to just under 400,000 in fiscal 2018.
      • The consensus among economic research studies is that the impact of immigration is primarily a net positive for the U.S. economy and to workers overall, especially over the long term. Illegal immigration tends to affect less-educated and low-skilled American workers the most. Almost all research shows legal and illegal immigrants are less likely to commit crimes than the native-born population.
      • El Paso had the third-lowest violent crime rate among 35 U.S. cities with a population over 500,000 in the three consecutive years before construction of a 57-mile-long fence started in mid-2008 and completed in mid-2009.
      • But a wall would not necessarily stanch the flow, as much of these drugs are smuggled through legal ports of entry or underground tunnels. The death toll from drug abuse is mostly attributable to prescription and illicit drug overdoses, which claim more lives than cocaine and heroin overdoses combined.
      • Trump mentions 20 different states, but experts say MS-13 is concentrated in three areas: Los Angeles, Long Island and the Washington area.
      • These numbers for arrests and charges are apples and oranges. By switching from one to the other, Trump confuses the issue and exaggerates the criminality. In many cases, the people arrested face multiple counts. Furthermore, not all charges result in convictions.
      • Trump’s proposal would not provide humanitarian assistance to Central American children. Trump’s proposal would bar all minors from being able to present asylum claims inside USA and would limit asylum grants to minors from these three countries, provided they apply while remaining in another country.
      • The San Diego fence, by itself, “did not have a discernible impact on the influx of unauthorized aliens coming across the border. But the apprehension numbers are not just down in fenced parts of the border — they’re down everywhere, including in border sections without these barriers.
      Health Care: 
      • Trump administration has refused to defend the Affordable Care Act against a lawsuit that would end protection for patients with preexisting conditions. When the district court ruled against the law, Trump celebrated the ruling.
      • The decline is the first time in 46 years in the December-to-December time frame, but there have been other 12-month periods with declines that is not the first time in 46 years, most recently in 2013. 
      • The legislation in New York would not have “allowed a baby to be ripped from the mother’s womb moments before birth.” unless the patient is not before point of “viability or there is an absence of fetal viability, or the abortion is necessary to protect the patient’s life or health.”
      Foreign Policy:
      • The effort to push NATO members to spend more on defense began well before Trump took office. NATO allies had spent (secured) $41 billion increase toward defense since Trump took office. NATO Secretary General said NATO allies will have added $100 billion extra toward defense by the end of 2020.
      • But Supporters of the Iran nuclear deal (JCPOA) disputed that and say the JCPOA at least buys time, subjecting Iran to strong constraints on its nuclear activities for 10 to 25 years. Without the JCPOA — and if it changed its current policy and chose to do so — Iran could hasten development of nuclear weapons on an even shorter timeline than the one Trump found unacceptable.
      • Trump exaggerates the possibility of war, which had been heightened by his own harsh rhetoric. Intelligence community assessment and satellite imagery indicates North Korea continues to pursue a nuclear program.
      • Trump acted as if the money has been spent, but he is referring to a Brown University study that included estimates of future obligations, spanning almost 5 decades since 2001 war in Afghanistan
      Anti-Terrorism:
      • Independent reports estimated that 20,000 to 30,000 ISIS militants may remain in Iraq and Syria. The group was far weaker a decade ago when U.S. forces last withdrew from Iraq. The group is far larger now than before the last withdrawal (from Iraq). Obama set up virtually all the structure that did the fighting under Trump. Under Obama, all Iraqi cities (with the exception of the western half of Mosul) held by ISIS were retaken by end of his term (more than the 20,000 square miles)
        This year's SOTU (State Of The Union) speech

        Factchecker:

        Washington Post
        FactCheck.org
        New York Times

        Summary: Trump’s State of the Union speech once again was chock-full of stretched facts and dubious figures. Many of these claims have been fact-checked repeatedly, yet he persists in using them. Here, in the order in which he made them, are nearly 30 statements by Trump.

        [transcript]
        8/26/19 G-7 Summit (France)
        Factchecker:
        New York Times

        NATO Defense Spending:
        • The amount other NATO member countries spent on defense “was really heading in the wrong direction — three years ago was heading down.” “a lot” of countries are “delinquent” in their payments. defense spending for NATO members “was going down for close to 20 years. If you look at a chart, it was like a rollercoaster down, nothing up. And that was going on for a long time.” - remarks with Macron and NATO Secretary-General Stoltenberg
        • South Korea Defense Sharing Contribution: Trump understated South Korea’s prior contributions to the shared cost of the U.S. military presence in South Korea by several hundred million dollars. ".....really less than $500 million, which has been that number for many, many years — decades. And I got $500 million more a year.
        • "I’ve asked Japan. I said to Prime Minister Abe...... We’re paying a lot of money. You’re a wealthy nation. And we’re, you know, paying for your military, essentially. You have to help us out.” And he’s doing — he’s going to do a lot. They’re all going to do a lot. But they were never asked. Now they’re being asked."
        Economy - international trade:
        • We won, in the World Trade Organization, we won seven and a half billion dollars. We never used to win before me, because, before me, the United States was a sucker for all of these different organizations.” — remarks with NATO Secretary-General 
        • Trump, speaking about claims that Britain’s state-funded health care system would be part of future U.K.-U.S. trade talks: “I don’t even know where that rumor started. We have absolutely nothing to do with it and we wouldn’t want to. If you handed it to us on a silver platter, we want nothing to do with it.” — remarks with Jens Stoltenberg.
        • U.S. trade deficit with the European Union: “the deficit for many, many years, has been astronomical … [a]nd I’m changing that, and I’m changing it fairly rapidly.” - remarks with NATO Secretary-General. “I came into a position where the European Union was making anywhere from $100 to $150 billion in deficits to the United States, [W]e have a very unfair trade situation where the U.S. loses a lot of money for many, many years with the European Union — billions and billions of dollars. I mean, to be specific, over $150 billion a year.” - remarks with Macron
        Economy - others :
        • Trump, on protecting oilfields in Syria: “We have the oil, and we can do with the oil what we want.” — remarks with Stoltenberg
        Foreign Policy:
        • [M]y relationship with Kim Jong Un is really good, but that doesn’t mean he won’t abide by the agreement we signed. You have to understand. You have to go and look at the first agreement that we signed. It said he will denuclearize. That’s what it said. I hope he lives up to the agreement, but we’re going to find out.

        Impeachment: 
        • “For the hearings, we don’t get a lawyer.” — remarks with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
        • “We don’t get any witnesses. ...This is a fix. ...I want them to testify, but I want them to testify in the Senate where they’ll get a fair trial.” — remarks with Trudeau.
        Anti-Terrorism:
        • “We have a tremendous amount of captured fighters, ISIS fighters over in Syria. And...but many are from France, many are from Germany. Many are from U.K. They are mostly from Europe.” — remarks with French President Emmanuel Macron.
        • "We’ve defeated the ISIS caliphate. Nobody thought we could do that so quickly. I did it very quickly. When I came in, it was virtually 100%. And I knocked it down to zero."
        NATO Defense Spending:
        • NATO Europe and Canada had increased defense spending 3 years ago. Defense spending for NATO countries, other than the United States, did not “going down for close to 20 years" countries make their own decisions on what percentage of their gross domestic product to spend on their own defense. They don’t owe (delinquent) NATO money if they spend less than other countries choose to do.
        • Before the current one-year agreement effective in April that Korea contributed $873 million, there were a 5-year agreement which South Korea paid  “approximately $830 million per year.” Under the five-year deal, South Korea still contributed much more than $500 million a year.
        • Trump falsely implied that Japan isn’t sharing the cost of the U.S. military presence on Japanese territory. Japan is helping out the U.S. financially when it comes to its own defense. Under a Special Measures Agreement that that has been in force since Election year and is generally renegotiated every five years, Japan contributed almost equal portion of the cost: $1.7-$2.1 billion per year vs $1.9 - $2.5 billion per year.




        Economy - international trade:
        • Trump is wildly wrong to state that the U.S. never won victories in disputes taken to the trade organization before him. The U.S. has always had a high success rate when it pursues cases at the WTO. Trump was referring to a WTO decision in October siding with the U.S. on imposing tariffs on $7.5 billion worth of European imports annually. The value of the tariffs on those imports is much less than $7.5 billion.
        • Trump is referring to his own past statements as a “rumor.” Asked about the National Health Service (NHS) during a visit to Britain in June, he said “when you’re dealing in trade, everything’s on the table. So, NHS or anything else.” NHS could in fact be a bargaining chip in U.S.-U.K. trade talks. (AP news)
        • In fact, U.S. trade deficit with the European Union under Trump has gone up not down. When Trump took office, the U.S. had a total trade deficit with the EU of $93 billion – not $100 - $150 billion — and it has gone up under Trump. The deficit has exceeded $100 billion only once in the last 10 years under other Administration.









        Economy - others:
        • The oil in Syria belongs to Syria and the U.S. can’t do anything it wants with it
        Foreign Policy:
        • Trump misstated what North Korean leader Kim Jong Un agreed to do about his country’s nuclear weapons program after their first summit 6/12/18. The “agreement,” does not say that “he will denuclearize.” "North Korea “commits to work toward complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.” It is a statement of goals, not an agreement. The statement contains no agreement on a denuclearization plan

        Impeachment: 
        • House Judiciary Committee has invited Trump and his lawyers to appear if he wishes, but so far the White House has refused.
        • Trump is incorrect that the Intelligence Committee hearings only brought forward witnesses hand-picked by the Democratic majority on the panel. Several were invited at the request of Republicans on the committee.

        Anti-Terrorism:
        • Trump clashed with Macron.  Macron: There are “very large number of fighters ... ISIS fighters coming from Syria, from Iraq and the region.” Those from Europe are “a tiny minority of the overall problem.”  AP News: Trump is incorrect to say the Islamic State fighters who were captured and held by the Kurds in Syria are mostly from Europe. Of the more than 12,000 IS fighters in custody in Kurdish areas, Most of them — about 10,000 — are natives of Syria or Iraq. Of those from outside the region of the conflict, some were from Europe, some were from other parts of the world.
        • About 50% of ISIS’ territory had been regained under Obama.
        12/3/19 NATO Summit

        Factchecker:

        AP Factcheck
        FactCheck.org
        CNN

        Summary:

        Trump wholly misrepresented the U.S. record on international trade disputes, incorrectly accused House Democrats of denying him lawyers in impeachment proceedings and dismissed as a mysterious “rumor” his own statement from months ago about Britain’s health system. (AP News)

        Trump repeated a slew of false claims to an international audience at the annual NATO summit (FactCheck.org)




        Speech Contradicts Conduct
        Speech Conduct Occasions
        "Tonight, I call upon on all of us to set aside our differences, to seek out common ground, and to summon the unity we need to deliver for the people. This is really the key. These are the people we were elected to serve." Despite the president’s call for unity, he has done little to bring the country or the parties together. The country is as divided as it ever has been in modern times. Trump’s approval rating overall is the lowest of any modern president at the same time in their presidency. It is low and yet remarkably stable, because of a hard-core base,Trump has done little to reach out beyond that base, in policy or rhetoric. In fact, by a 60% to 31% of Americans say Trump has divided the country since his election, according to a recent NPR/PBS/Marist poll. 1/30/18 SOTU (State Of The Union) Speech commented by NPR
        "To everyone still recovering in Texas, Florida, Louisiana, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, everywhere, we are with you, we love you, and we always will pull through together, always." More than four months after Hurricane Maria hit Puerto Rico, about 30% of the U.S. territory’s residents are still without electricity and 3.5% lack running water. FEMA says it will spend $13.7 billion in Puerto Rico this fiscal year (at the time of NPR commenting 1/30/18). The agency says it is shifting from the emergency response phase of its work to a longer-term recovery phase. This week (at the time of NPR commenting 1/30/18), FEMA announced it would stop distributing food and water to cities as it has been doing but will continue providing aid to nonprofit groups. Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., has urged FEMA to reverse that decision. On 1/31/18 at 5 p.m. ET: FEMA changed course on Wednesday and is no longer halting the distribution of food and water. 1/30/18 SOTU (State Of The Union) speech commented by NPR
        "As we rebuild America's strength and confidence at home, we are also restoring our strength and standing abroad." According to a Gallup Poll, global respect for American leadership has fallen to an all-time low. Just 30% of those surveyed around the world approve of U.S. leadership. Support for the U.S. fell by more than 10 points in nearly half the 134 countries surveyed including a 40-point drop in Canada, though there were few exceptions. 1/30/18 SOTU (State Of The Union) Speech commented by NPR


        Economy: The most targeted area of inflated lies, self-bragging, self-grandiose
        Lies Facts Factchecker


        Border Wall Funding and Fake National Emergency
        Lies Facts Factchecker
        Illegal Immigration:
        • "There is a growing humanitarian and security crisis at our Southern border."
        • “Every day, Customs and Border Patrol agents encounter thousands of illegal immigrants trying to enter our country.”
        • "In FY17 and FY18, ICE officers made 266,000 arrests of aliens with criminal records including those charged [with] or convicted of 100,000 assaults, 30,000 sex crimes and 4,000 violent killings. Over the years, thousands of Americans have been brutally killed by those who illegally entered our country."
        • “America proudly welcomes millions of lawful immigrants who enrich our society and contribute to our nation, but all Americans are hurt by uncontrolled illegal migration. It strains public resources and drives down jobs and wages.”
        • Unlawful migration was fueled by our very strong economy













        Drug Smuggling:
        • "Our Southern border is a pipeline for vast quantities of illegal drugs. ... My administration has presented Congress with a detailed proposal to secure the border and stop the criminal gangs, drug smugglers and human traffickers. It's a tremendous problem."
        • “Every week 300 of our citizens are killed by heroin alone, 90 percent of which floods across our southern border.”
        Border Wall Funding:
        • “The federal government remains shut down for one reason and one reason only: because Democrats will not fund border security.”
        • “The wall will also be paid for, indirectly by the great new trade deal we have made with Mexico.”
        • "Law enforcement professionals have requested $5.7 billion for a physical barrier. At the request of Democrats it will be a steel barrier rather than a concrete wall. This barrier is absolutely critical to border security."
        • “The border wall would very quickly pay for itself.”

























        Other:
        • Senator  Democrats "has repeatedly supported a physical barrier in the past"


        Illegal Immigration:
        • Illegal border crossings in the most recent fiscal year (FY18) were actually lower than in FY16 and much lower than at their peak around 2000. The number of unauthorized border crossers is also dwarfed by the number of people who overstay their visas. While illegal crossings are still well below the levels of a generation ago despite a spike in crossings in the past few months (October, November), the makeup of the traffic has changed. There are now many more children and families from Central America.
        • In November, CBP apprehended 51,856 people trying to cross the border illegally. That’s about 1,700 per day.
        • The president is correct in  numbers. But traffic and immigration related arrests were also prevalent. Experts say the president's rhetoric overstates the threat posed by immigrants, who tend to commit crime at lower rates than people who are born in the United States — including murder and other violent crimes.
        • Some economists argue that immigrants drive down available jobs and wages for Americans only if they are competing for the same jobs as the domestic work force. In many cases, immigrants — legal or illegal — are seeking jobs that American citizens do not want to do. Kevin Hassett (former Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers) argued that immigration spurs economic growth.
        • In fact, the violence, drug cartels, gangs and poverty ravaging Central America have been driving people to the United States for years — and the unrelenting turmoil is still driving families to flee with their children.
        Drug Smuggling:
        • According to the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA), most illegal drugs imported to the U.S. from Mexico are smuggled through legal ports of entry. Only a small fraction comes through parts of the border that would be covered by a wall.
        • Most heroin smuggled into the United States does come through the southwest border. But most of it is smuggled into the United States through legal ports of entry at the southern border. A border wall would not address what experts see as the next, more deadly phase of the opioid epidemic: fentanyl.
        Border Wall Funding:
        • Democrats have offered $1.3 billion in funding for border security measures for enhanced surveillance and fortified fencing. They do not support Trump’s border wall. At a meeting with Ms. Pelosi and Mr. Schumer in December, Mr. Trump took responsibility for the partial government shutdown.
        • The revised NAFTA, known as the USMCA, has yet to pass in Congress. Any economic benefits from the agreement, if it passes, will mostly come in the form of lower tariffs for American companies or higher wages for American workers. This is different from Mr. Trump’s campaign promise that Mexico would finance the wall.
        • The switch from concrete to steel was not made at the request of Democrats. Back to December when Homeland Security said it wanted $5.7 billion to secure 215 miles of border but only 100 miles of that was expected to be a new barrier. The rest would go to restoring existing walls and fences. Trump administration's January request changed that to "new physical barrier" for all.
        • Trump has claimed that the annual cost of illegal drugs in the United States is $500 billion. One report by the surgeon general estimated that the annual economic impact of illicit drug use is $193 billion.Stopping the flow of drugs across the southwest border would not entirely stem the flow of drugs across the United States. Moreover, it is not clear how reducing the cost of drug addiction would finance the wall.
        Other:
        • This is true. Dozens of Democrats  did vote for the Secure Fence Act of 2006, which authorized building a fence along about 700 miles of the border between the United States and Mexico. [That appears to be sufficient but] Trump derided that fencing during his Campaign as "such a little wall, such a nothing wall."

        1/8/19 speech to the Nation

        Fachchecker:

        New York Times
        NPR
        NBC
        Illegal Immigration:
        • Catch-and-Release “We have a real problem. We have catch-and-release. You catch a criminal, and you have to release him.”
        •  Chain Migration  “You have chain migration. Where a bad person comes in, brings 22 or 23 or 35 of his family members ... You know what happened on the West Side Highway. That young wise guy drove over and killed eight people and horribly injured . … He had many people brought in because he was in the United States. It’s called chain migration.”
        • Diversity Immigration Visa “And then you have the lottery. It’s a horror show, because when countries put people into the lottery, they’re not putting you in; they’re putting some very bad people in the lottery. It’s common sense. If I ran a country, and if I have a lottery system of people going to the United States, I’m not going to put in my stars; I’m going to put in people I don’t want. The lottery system’s a disaster. I’m stuck with it.”
        • Southwest Border Apprehensions "So we have far more people trying to get into our country today than probably we’ve ever had before.”
        Drug Smuggling:
        • “But one of the things I said I have to do and I want to do is border security, because we have tremendous amounts of drugs flowing into our country, much of it coming from the southern border. When you look and when you listen to politicians — in particular certain Democrats — they say it all comes through the port of entry. It’s wrong. It’s wrong. It’s just a lie. It’s all a lie.”
        Human Trafficking:
        • “If you’re going to have drugs pouring across the border, if you’re going to have human traffickers pouring across the border in areas where we have no protection, in areas where we don’t have a barrier, then very hard to make America great again.”
        Border Wall Finance
        • “And, by the way, the USMCA, from Mexico — that’s United States, Mexico, Canada — that’s where the money’s coming from, not directly, but indirectly, for the wall. And nobody wants to talk about that.”
        Border Crime:
        • Crime in El Paso “The other night I was in El Paso. We had a tremendous crowd and — tremendous crowd. And I asked the people, many of whom were from El Paso … I said, ‘Let me ask you the — as a crowd, when the wall went up, was it better?’ You were there, some of you. It was not only better; it was like 100 percent better.”
        • El Paso Murders “In El Paso, they have close to 2,000 murders right on the other side of the wall. And they had 23 murders. It’s a lot of murders. But it’s not close to 2,000 murders, right on the other side of the wall, in Mexico. So everyone knows that walls work.”
         Other Issues:
        • ‘Wall’ Construction, So Far “I could do the wall over a longer period of time. I didn’t need to do this. But I’d rather do it much faster. And I don’t have to do it for the election. I’ve already done a lot of wall for the election — 2020.”
        • Total Trade Deficit “You saw last month, the trade deficit went way down.”
        • Trade Deficit with China “We’ve been losing on average $375 billion a year with China. Lot of people think it’s $506 billion. Some people think it’s much more than that.”

        Illegal Immigration:
        • That’s not accurate. The U.S. does not have to release criminals; in fact, it is required to detain certain criminals. Those attempting to enter the U.S. without “valid entry documents” or “by fraud or misrepresentation” must be detained pending an expedited removal proceeding. And they are subject to deportation whether they have a criminal record or not. Those apprehended near the border who have committed a less serious offense and who are deemed not to pose a risk to public safety, can be released pending the long-term proceeding. But authorities are not obligated to do so
        • Trump is referring to Sayfullo Saipov, a Uzbekistan national who in a terrorist attack in New York City killed eight people and injured 11 others. There’s no evidence that Saipov had brought even one relative to the country.
        • Trump has repeatedly misrepresented how the Diversity Immigrant Visa Program works. Countries do not “put in people” for visas; the individuals themselves apply. And those selected in the “lottery,” must pass an extensive background check before they are given green cards
        • The number of people who try to enter the U.S. illegally each year is unknown, but federal authorities use the number of apprehensions to gauge changes in illegal immigration. Southwest border apprehensions in FY18 was much less than that in 2000. (see chart data in this reference)  
        Drug Smuggling:
        • The Drug Enforcement Administration — not just “certain Democrats” — say that Mexican cartels “transport the bulk of their drugs over the Southwest Border through ports of entry (POEs). This is particularly true for heroin and fentanyl





        Human Trafficking:
        Border Wall Finance
        • The USMCA agreement but has yet to be approved by Congress represents an arguably slightly better deal than NAFTA, experts had said but not enough to generate enough federal revenues to pay for the wall. The additional revenue could not “cover annual maintenance and improvements of the wall much less the original build.”
        Border Crime:
        • Crime statistics from the FBI contradict Trump's narrative. El Paso has never been one of the most dangerous cities in the country. The city had the third lowest violent crime rate among 35 U.S. cities with a population over 500,000 before construction of 57 miles of fencing (FY08).  Nor was there an “immediate” or “overnight” drop in violent crime in El Paso after the fence was constructed.
        • That’s not evidence that “walls work.” While there has long been a high number of murders in Juarez, Mexico. The number of murders in El Paso has remained relatively low among U.S. cities, both before and after the fence.
        Other Issues:
        • Very little new fencing has been constructed, and none of it is the type Trump promised during the campaign.
        • It’s true that the monthly trade deficit was $49.3 billion in November, down $6.4 billion from $55.7 billion in October. But the October trade deficit was the highest monthly deficit in 10 years. Overall, the trade deficit is up 20.3% for the 12 months ending in November, compared with the year before Trump took office. 
        • Trump has been exaggerating the U.S. trade deficit with China since the Election. (for statistics see this reference)

        Trump's Fake National Emergency Speech

        Factchecker:

        Factcheck.org

        Summary:

        In declaring a national emergency at the Southwest border, President Donald Trump strung together a long list of false, misleading and unsupported claims on illegal immigration, drug smuggling, human trafficking, trade deficits and other issues, nearly all of which we have debunked numerous times before.





        Foreign Policy

        North Korea
        Lies Facts Events
        Denuclearization:
        • "We haven’t given up anything other than … I agreed to meet."
        • "We have done exercises working with South Korea for a long time. We call them war games. I call them war games. They are tremendously expensive."
        • "Scientifically, I’ve been watching and reading a lot about this, and it does take a long time to pull off complete denuclearization. … Scientifically, you have to wait certain periods of time, and a lot of things happen. But despite that, once you start the process it means it’s pretty much over."
        • "This isn’t the past. This isn’t another administration that never got it started and therefore never got it done."
        Human Rights:
        • "I believe it’s a rough situation over there. There’s no question about it. And we did discussed it today pretty strongly. I mean, knowing what the main purpose of what we were doing is: denuking. But discussed it at pretty good length. We’ll be doing something on it. It’s rough. It’s rough in a lot of places, by the way. Not just there." 
        Other Topic - Trade:
        • "The United States, now, is almost twice the size of the economy of China."
        • "We have a big trade deficit with Canada."
        • "$151 billion (trade deficit) with the European Union."
        • "We’re paying for ... — I mean, anyone can say — from 60 to 90 percent of NATO. And we’re protecting countries of Europe. And then on top of it, they kill us on trade."
        Denuclearization:
        • The accuracy of this statement depends on what happens with longstanding military exercises on the Korean peninsula. But an end to the U.S.-South Korean exercises was not included in the joint statement Trump and Kim released after the summit, and it’s unclear whether it will happen.
        • Various experts commented - They are not ‘war games.’ That’s what our enemies call them. They are ‘military exercises'. Exercises of this sort "are the core of an alliance," The additional costs of exercises are modest. The big ongoing costs are for military bases and for military and support personnel. If the forces weren’t conducting an exercise. they would still be conducting other routine operations and training. So the increase in costs is rather marginal.
        • Trump is right that denuclearization is a lengthy process, but not on the point that it is irreversible. Trump’s claim that once the process begins "it’s pretty much over" is nonsensical, experts say. Experts estimated denuclearization of North Korea would take up to 15 years in a report that was circulated to some administration officials, according to the New York Times. To complete denuclearization, it would require the decontamination, dismantlement and verification, all of which take considerable times. Experts said that verification — which was not included in the agreement but Trump told reporters would happen — "would be nearly hopeless."
        • Over the decades, North Korea has signed off on a several agreements, only to change its mind later. These include Nonproliferation Treaty, Agreed Framework, Six Party Talks. The general pattern has been that North Korea took some steps to curtail its nuclear weapons program in exchange for fuel and relief from economic sanctions. But ultimately, its long-term plan to become a nuclear-capable nation won out over each agreement.
        Human Rights:
        • The United Nations Commission of Inquiry has in the past called North Korea a country whose ‘gravity, scale, and nature’ of human rights violations do not ‘have any parallel in the contemporary world,’. There has been no change in this situation reported by the UN, so it is surprising — and quite shocking — that President Trump made no mention of the Commission of Inquiry reporting. 
        Other Topic: Trade
        • The United States’ GDP is $18.624 trillion, China’s is $11.199 trillion. That’s about 1.7 times bigger.
        • United States had a $23.2 billion deficit with Canada in goods, However, the United States had a $25.9 billion surplus with Canada in services — brought the overall balance of trade into surplus for the United States.
        • Trump again omits trade in services, which inflates the U.S. trade deficit. European Union had a $153 billion trade surplus in goods with the United States but a total trade surplus of $101 billion when services were factored in.
        • United States’ share in NATO’s total defense spending was about 67%. But these don’t represent dollars or euros spent on behalf of NATO. The U.S. share of NATO's common military expenses is about 22%.  Even those expenditures aren’t solely for the benefit of Europe.

        6/12/18 Trump-Kim Summit in Singapore

        Factchecker:

        PolitiFact

        Summary:

        Trump described the meeting as a success, reporting that North Korea would dismantle its nuclear arsenal "very quickly." Reporters pressed Trump for details on the process and whether he brought up North Korea’s human rights violations against its people and U.S. citizens, which Trump largely glossed over.

        [transcript]
        Middle East: Israil And Palestinne
        “The Jewish state has never had a better friend in the White House than your president, Donald J. Trump,” Middle East Peace Plan and Bahrain Summit (6/21/19): Kushner On Behalf of Trump
        Factchecker:

        Reference:
        Trump's Middle East Peace Plan Faces Dimmer Prospects (New York Times 11/19/19)
        Florida Rally (12/7/19)
        Speech to Israeli-American Council National Summit (12/12/19)
        Factchecker:
        Syria
        10/19/19
        '

        Environmental Protection and Climate Change
        Lies Facts Factchecker
        Trump's false and dubious rationals for his plan to exit Paris Accord:
        • “We’re getting out, but we will start to negotiate, and we will see if we can make a deal that’s fair.”
        • “China will be allowed to build hundreds of additional coal plants. So, we can’t build the plants, but they can, according to this agreement. India will be allowed to double its coal production by 2020.”
        • “Compliance with the terms of the Paris accord and the onerous energy restrictions it has placed on the United States could cost America millions lost jobs, according to the National Economic Research Associates. This includes 440,000 fewer manufacturing jobs — not what we need.”
        • “Even if the Paris Agreement were implemented in full, with total compliance from all nations, it is estimated it would only produce 0.20 Celsius reduction in global temperature by the year 2100. Tiny, tiny amount.”
        • “The green fund would obligate the United States to commit potentially tens of billions of dollars of which the United States has already handed over $1 billion. Nobody else is even close. Most of them haven’t even paid anything — including funds raided out of America’s budget for the war against terrorism. That’s where they came.”
        • “The world’s leader in environmental protection, while imposing no meaningful obligations on the world’s leading polluters. China will be able to increase these emissions by a staggering number of years, 13. They can do whatever they want for 13 years. India makes its participation contingent on receiving billions and billions and billions of dollars in foreign aid from developed countries.”
        • “The risks grow as historically these agreements only tend to become more and more ambitious over time. In other words, the Paris framework is just a starting point, as bad as it is, not an end point. And exiting the agreement protects the United States from future intrusions on the United States sovereignty and massive future legal liability. Believe me, we have massive legal liability if we stay in.”
        • “As someone who cares deeply about the environment, which I do, I cannot in good conscience support a deal that punishes the United States, which is what it does.”
        • “cost to the economy at this time would be close to $3 trillion in lost GDP” under the Paris Agreement. 
        • In short, the agreement doesn’t eliminate coal jobs, it just transfers those jobs out of America and the United States, and ships them to foreign countries.
        • And we’ll discuss with the Democrats and all of the people that represent either the Paris accord or something that we can do that’s much better than the Paris accord. And I think the people of our country will be thrilled, and I think then the people of the world will be thrilled. But until we do that, we’re out of the agreement.
        EPA Policies:
        • The United States, under the Trump administration, will continue to be the cleanest and most environmentally friendly country on Earth. We’ll be the cleanest. We’re going to have the cleanest air. We’re going to have the cleanest water.
        Economy:
        • Let me begin with an update on our tremendous, absolutely tremendous economic progress since Election Day on Nov. 8. The economy is starting to come back, and very, very rapidly. We have added $3.3 trillion in stock market value to our economy, and more than a million private sector jobs.


        Trump's false and dubious rationals for his plan to exit Paris Accord:
        • Each country set its own commitments under the Paris Accord, so Trump’s comment is puzzling. He could unilaterally change the commitments offered by President Barack Obama, which is technically allowed under the Accord. But there is no appetite to renegotiate the entire agreement, as made clear by various statements from world leaders after his announcement.
        • The agreement is nonbinding and each nation sets its own targets. There is nothing in the agreement that stops the United States from building coal plants or gives the permission to China or India to build coal plants. In fact, market forces, primarily reduced costs for natural gas, have forced the closure of coal plants.
        • The 'projected statistics' Trump cited was from a study funded by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and the American Council for Capital Formation, foes of the Paris Accord. The model for the analysis does not take into consideration: obama's emission reduction pledge, potential benefits from avoided emissions, yet-to-be developed technologies that might influence the long-term cost. 
        • John Reilly, lead author of the MIT research report, said he “disagrees completely” with Trump’s characterization that the 0.2 degree cut is a “tiny, tiny” amount that is not worth pursuing. As a part of the deal, countries reexamine their commitments and can exceed or extend their pledges beyond 2030. The intent of the research was to say the Paris deal was a small step, and that more incremental steps need to be taken in the long run.
        • It is incorrect that other countries have not contributed to the Green Climate Fund. In fact, 43 governments have pledged money to the fund, including nine developing countries. The countries have pledged to pay $10.13 billion collectively, and the U.S. share is $3 billion. United States has contributed $1 billion of the $3 billion it pledged. But the U.S. contributions were paid out of the State Department’s Economic Support Fund, not from Defense money.
        • China and the U.S. were the top emitters per kiloton in 2015. Per capita, however, the U.S. emitted more than China and India combined. China committed to cut its carbon emissions by 60% to 65% per unit of GDP by 2030. India said it would reduce its emissions per unit of economic output by 33% to 35%.
        • There is no liability mechanism in the Paris Agreement. International environmental law experts said that pulling out of the agreement won’t reduce U.S. exposure to liability claims and, in fact, may increase it. Trump believed - staying in the Paris agreement would bolster legal arguments of climate advocates challenging his decision to roll back Obama's Clean Power Plan which proposes to cut carbon emissions from existing power plants 30% by 2030
        • For years, Trump has touted his strong record on the environment. But the evidence is quite slim
        • They were projected statistics into about 20 year period. Each estimates were based on certain assumptions (scenarios) and the research were done by various groups, some of them were conservative groups. (for details on statistics and assumptions. see this reference)
        • According to the Department of Energy, there are about 373,000 Americans working in solar energy – much more than that of the coal industry. The coal sector has been shedding jobs for decades, driven by automation of work and, more recently, the abundance of cheap natural gas.
        • In common with some other policy areas, Trump seems to be believe his negotiating skills can overcome issues that leaders have grappled with for years. Paris came about after 20 years of often painful incremental manoeuvrings
        EPA Policies: 
        • Under the Trump administration, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has paused or scrapped rules that prevent the dumping of mining waste into streams, curb emissions and stop mercury and arsenic seeping into waterways. The EPA’s proposed budget also cuts measures that prevent lead contamination and also scraps clean-ups of the Great Lakes and the Gulf of Mexico and shrinks the funding of enforcement of pollution rules.
        Economy: 
        • The economy has added more than a million private sector jobs since his election. That’s true, but only 493,000 of them were added since he took office. In touting job gains, Trump has frequently, and inaccurately, counted January jobs in his total.
        6/1/17 Trump Paris Climate Speech

        Factchecker:

        Guardian
        Factcheck.org
        Washington Post

        Summary:

        In his speech announcing his decision to withdraw from the Paris Accord on climate change, Trump frequently relied on dubious facts and unbalanced claims to make his case that the agreement would hurt the U.S. economy. Notably, he only looked at one side of the scale — claiming the agreement left the United States at a competitive disadvantage, harming U.S. industries. But he often ignored the benefits that could come from tackling climate change, including potential green jobs. (Washington Post)

        In announcing that the U.S. would withdraw from the Paris Agreement, a global accord aimed at addressing climate change, Trump made more than a few false and misleading claims (Factcheck.org)

        [transcript]
        8/21/18 Rally:

        • "We want a strong, beautiful, clean environment. I want clean air. I want crystal clean water. And we’ve got it. We’ve got the cleanest country in the planet right now. There’s nobody cleaner than us, and it’s getting better and better, but I’m getting rid of some these ridiculous rules and regulations, which are killing our companies, our states and our jobs."

        6/5/19 in UK
        • [Charles] wants to make sure future generations have climate that is good climate, as opposed to a disaster, and I agree. I did mention a couple of things. I did say well, the United States right now has among the cleanest climates there are based on all statistics, and it’s even getting better. Because I agree with that, I want the best water, the cleanest water. Crystal clean … air.
        • "I believe that there’s a change in weather, and I think it changes both ways. Don’t forget it used to be called global warming. That wasn’t working. Then it was called climate change. Now it’s actually called extreme weather, because with extreme weather, you can’t miss."
        •  Look, we have a thing now with tornadoes, I don’t remember tornadoes in the U.S. to the extent. But then when you look back, 40 years ago, we had the worst tornado binge that we’ve ever had. In the 1890s, we had our worst hurricanes. And I would say we’ve had some very bad hurricanes.
        8/21/18 Rally:

        • There are several countries that are “cleaner” than the U.S., overall and in specific categories, according to the most recent EPI (Environmental Performance Index). On air quality, the U.S. ranked 10th, though it was tied with 11 other countries for 1st in household air pollution and on water and sanitation, it placed 29th. “This ranking puts the United States near the back of the industrialized nations" The U.S. rankings in categories - exposure to particulate matter was 88th and sanitation was 31st.(commented by factcheck.org)
        6/5/19 in UK:
        • According to the Environmental Performance Index (EPI),  United States is 10th in air quality, and about 30th in water and sanitation. It’s not clear whether air quality has gotten better, as Trump claims. the average national air pollutant concentrations for sulfur dioxide and ozone, improved slightly from FY16-17. Others [particulate matter], however, showed the opposite pattern. Trump is mistaking traditional pollutants with greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide, when he used the term “cleanest climates,”. US is the 10th highest for carbon dioxide emissions per person. Estimates also indicate that U.S. emissions rose in 2018 after three years of declines.  (commented by factcheck.org)
        • rump's response is potentially misleading, and touches on a common failure to understand the difference between climate and weather. This difference in perspective matters because weather will always fluctuate. climate change “is not proven nor disproven by individual warming or cooling spells. It’s the longer-term trends. In the case of climate change, the global average temperature trend is going in one direction, contrary to Trump’s suggestion (commented by factcheck.org). 
        • Trump's concern that the terminology surrounding climate change has purposely shifted over the years -  from “global warming,” to “climate change” and finally becoming “extreme weather.” misrepresents the history of the terms. (see this reference for more elaboration on the Terminology).
        • Immediately after Trump’s statement about terminology,  he exemplified the term - "extreme weather".  Neither Trump's tornado example was the worst in history, nor his Hurricane example (see this reference for statistics). Knowledge about the physical processes driving a particular weather event and modeling allow us to study whether climate change is influencing the severity or frequency of events. Scientists are more confident now that hurricanes will be more intense with continued warming. While tornadoes cannot be simulated in climate models at present, and have a complex and subtle relation to climate change.
        Repeated Tweets,  Rally Speech and Other Occasions  
        Air Pollution:
        • "One of the main messages of air pollution, particulate matters is six times lower here than the global average. We hear so much about what other countries and what everyone else is doing.
        Carbon Emission:
        • Since 2000, our nation’s energy-related carbon emissions have declined more than any other country on earth." Think of that.  Emissions are projected to drop in 2019 and 2020.  We’re doing a very tough job and not everybody knows it, and that’s one of the reasons we’re here today to speak to you.  Every single one of the signatories to the Paris Climate Accord lags behind America in overall emissions reductions.
        Superfund Program:
        • “We’ve refocused the EPA back on its core mission, and, last year, the agency completed more Superfund hazardous waste cleanups than any year of the previous administrations and set records in almost every year. We have done tremendous work on Superfunds.”
        Lead Regulation:
        • And for the first time in nearly 30 years, we’re in the process of ....protect vulnerable children from lead and copper exposure — something that has not been done, and we’re doing it.  And last month, our EPA took the first major action in nearly two decades to reduce exposure to lead-contaminated dust. 
        EPA Rollbacks: (omitted)
        • Trump spoke of “revising the past administration’s misguided regulations to better protect the environment and to protect our American workers”
        • NOT MENTIONED: Trump’s regulatory rollback of rules on power plants, vehicle efficiency and waters covered by federal law.
        EPA Budget:
        • NOT MENTIONED: Trump has proposed hefty cuts to the EPA’s budget each year, 

        Green New Deal:
        • More than 100 Democrats in Congress now support the so-called Green New Deal. Their plan is estimated to cost our economy nearly $100 trillion, a number unthinkable, a number not affordable even in the best of times
          Air Pollution And Carbon Emission:
          • Air pollution in the U.S. has indeed plummeted since the Clean Air Act in 1990, But that trend has reversed itself starting last year. According to an Associated Press analysis of EPA data, it shows a 15% increase in the number of high air pollution days in the Trump administration compared to Obama administration. That’s a setback from a long-term decline under the previous four presidents which has led to emissions of sulfur dioxide to fall 88% below 1990 levels, Lead pollution in air down 80%, soot and nitrogen dioxide down between 34% and 56%, Ground-level ozone down 22%.
          Carbon Emission:
          • Trump’s statistic is accurate, but it’s misleading because it refers to an absolute reduction in emissions, rather than a percent reduction. Absolute reductions fail to account for differences in population size or starting levels of emissions, rendering international comparisons meaningless. More than 10 other nations participating in the Paris Agreement have posted higher percent declines. Trump also omits the fact that CO2 emissions rose in 2018. The expected emissions reductions this and next year is analyzed due to “milder weather … and, consequently, less energy consumption.” (factchecked by factcheck.org)
          Superfund Program:
          • There are several other years when the agency has removed more sites from the Superfund list. In FY18 there were 18 site deletions. In calendar year 1996, the EPA removed 45 Superfund sites, or 34 when counting by fiscal year. Fiscal years 1997 and 2001 also each had more than 30 Superfund deletions. And every calendar year between 1995 and 2001 had at least 19 deletions. (factchecked by factcheck.org)
          Lead Regulation:
          • Trump may very well be the first administration in almost three decades to substantially update the lead and copper rule. According to the EPA, there were revisions to the rule. the Obama administration conducted many of the preliminary actions. Trump also presents the rule on lead dust as an administrative initiative. But the lead-dust regulation was court-ordered, and health advocates say the resulting standards don’t go far enough.
          EPA Rollbacks:
           (this website track Trump's EPA rollbacks)
          • Trump failed to specify the negative impact of his many regulatory rollbacks. Trump has declined to support or sought to undo many of President Barack Obama’s signature environmental policies, including the Clean Power Plan. (commented by factcheck.org)
          • EPA says these three rules — which all replace stricter versions written by the Obama administration — do little to improve air and water quality or could even lead to pollution increases. (commented by Politico)
          EPA Budget:
          • Trump has proposed hefty cuts to the EPA’s budget each year, most recently proposing a 31% cut in fiscal year 2020 — including a 9% cut, or $109 million, to the Superfund program that Trump touted in his speech.

          Green New Deal:
          • That estimate was essentially pulled out of thin air,  as Politico has reported,  and was calculated by a conservative think tank that made significant assumptions about how the plan would be implemented. Even former Congressional Budget Office director Douglas Holtz-Eakin, whose think tank helped calculate the figure, has acknowledged that it's impossible to say exactly how much the plan would cost.


          7/8/19 Trump's false claims on his own environmental record

          Factchecker:

          New York Times
          Politico
          CNN

          Summary:

          Trump praised his own environmental record on and attacked the Obama administration's "relentless war" on U.S. energy. But a close look at his rhetoric reveals he is taking credit for pollution reductions that have taken place under previous presidents — and undertaking an aggressive agenda of weakening air and water pollution rules. Environmental advocates say the Trump administration’s track record shows his disregard for the work of the EPA, an agency he said during his campaign he would reduce to “little bits.” (Politico)

          In a July 8 speech dedicated to the environment, President Donald Trump made a series of misleading or false statements as he played up the U.S.’s environmental achievements. But many of the environmental victories Trump cited have been in the works for years or decades, such as the cleanup of Superfund sites or the court-ordered EPA regulations.  (factcheck.org)



          Health Care
          Lies Fact Context
          • ObamaCare is in serious trouble. The Dems need big money to keep it going (Trump Tweets -  repeated many times)
          • “many of our best and brightest are leaving the medical profession entirely because of Obamacare. Obamacare has been a complete and total catastrophe, and it’s getting worse and worse by the day.” (3/20/17 Rally in Louisville)
          • The DEDUCTIBLE which comes with ObamaCare is so high that it is practically not even useable! Hurts families badly. We have a chance, working with the Democrats, to deliver great HealthCare! A confirming Supreme Court Decision will lead to GREAT HealthCare results for Americans! (Trump Tweet 12/17/18)
          • "Obamacare has been repealed in this bill. When the individual mandate is being repealed, that means Obamacare is being repealed because they get their money from the individual mandate. We will come up with something much better." (12/20/17 remark about the effect of his tax bill on ACA)
          • Average premiums in Georgia this year are )coming down, we’re bringing them down, (11/5/18 before midterm rally)
          • The Affordable Care Act is not imploding and is expected to remain stable for the foreseeable future, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Moreover, Congress has been unable to pass a law that would repeal Obamacare, making the continuation of the law Trump's problem. (commented by Washington Post)
          • But the number of physicians has increased nearly 8% since the Affordable Care Act became law. There is also no evidence of a declining interest in medicine since the ACA took effect. (factchecked and commented by Fachcheck.org)
          • High deductibles aren't just an Obamacare problem. They're an American insurance problem. Plans with higher premiums typically have lower deductibles, and vice versa. Employer-sponsored insurance plans — which insure most Americans — increasingly have high deductibles. It's why there are so many subsidies and cost-sharing reductions baked into Obamacare, which help make the insurance plans more affordable for lower-income Americans. Trump's claim also ignores a core tenet of the ACA, which requires all plans cover a long list of preventative care services (factchecked and commented by NBC)
          • It hasn't. The tax plan does end fines for people who don't carry health insurance, effective the start of 2019. Other marquee components of Obama's law remain. The fines on people who don't carry health insurance only provide a small fraction of the financing for the program. Most of the money comes from higher taxes on upper-income people, cuts in Medicare payments to service providers, and other tax increases. (factchecked and commented by CBS)
          • Experts believe Obamacare premiums are dropping or only rising slightly, not because Trump somehow quietly fixed the program while trying to repeal it.And some experts argue premiums would have dropped far more if Trump hadn’t tried to undercut the law by spending most of the year trying to repeal it and eventually destabilizing it. (factchecked and commented by NBC)
          ObamaCare (PPACA): repeal and replace obama was Trump's Campaign Promise

          Factchecker:

          New York Time (10/6/18)

          • We've just introduced new affordable health care plans for Georgia, new individual markets that only cost about half the price of Obamacare, and it’s frankly better insurance (11/5/18 before midterm rally)
          • We passed Veterans Choice, giving our veterans the right to see a private doctor rather than waiting on line for 10 days, for 20 days, for 3 months (11/5/18 before midterm rally
          • Trump appears to be describing the barebones insurance plans his administration has championed after loosening the Obamacare restrictions. Critics call these "junk" insurance plans and note the benefits are not equivalent, let alone better, than the more expensive, but more comprehensive plans offered through Obamacare. (factchecked and commented by NBC)
          • The Veterans Choice Program was created years before Trump took office. It allowed veterans who did not live within 40 miles of a department hospital or faced wait times of over a month to seek private care. (factchecked and commented by NBC)
          Trump's 'health care plan' and veteran program
          • The Democrat plan would obliterate Medicare and eliminate Medicare Advantage for more than 360,000 Indiana seniors who totally depend on it (11/5/18 before midterm rally 
          • Republicans will protect Medicare for our great seniors — who earned it and frankly, have paid for it. (11/5 before midterm rally) 
          • Republicans will always protect patients with pre-existing conditions
          • While some Democrats support moving toward a single-payer health care system, the party does not agree on it. Democrats are proposing to insure more people with a system built from the foundation of Medicare, not kick a bunch of senior citizens off their plans.
          • Trump has long vowed to protect Medicare, but his administration's budget proposals and his party don’t always agree with him. Trump’s budget this year included a $236 billion cut to Medicare over the next ten years. (factchecked and commented by NBC
          • Republicans are suing to end these protections, they've voted repeatedly to repeal the legislation that first instituted them, and the alternatives they've suggested do not protect people with pre-existing conditions the way Obamacare does. (factchecked and commented by NBC)
          Medicare And Pre-existing conditions


          Before Election: Fact Check Trump's speech when as a Candidate by Factcheck.org

          Return To Table Of Contents - Grounds To Impeach Donald Trump


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